Monday, October 22, 2007

Thought For The Day

I wonder what would happen if Turkey invoked Article 5 of the NATO Charter?
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7 comments:

  1. About the same thing as would happen if Greek and Turkish forces started shooting at each other again...

    Big headache.

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  2. Big headache.

    Got that right.

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  3. Believe it or not, the Turkish invasion of Kurdistan was something I predicted would happen, but only in the first few months of the war. Do I get to claim prescience if the prediction comes true four years too late?

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  4. I think you get to claim something, James. But I'm also thoroughly unsurprised, and I don't blame the Turks, to be quite honest.

    Guerrillas were using the border to shield their attacks; Turkey is fully justified in taking action if the Kurds will not police their own.

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  5. Fortunately, it looks like Turkey is using the threat of use of force to encourage a diplomatic solution. For now.

    But cross-border raids and killings of Turkish soldiers are a clear casus belli.

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  6. It looks like the Turks are following a "Hot Pursuit" doctrine at the moment. Full blown invasion is not far off.

    http://tinyurl.com/yutvb3

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  7. And while we're in the mood for speculation, has anybody been paying attention to what Iran has to say about all this?

    They have a Kurdish minority too, and are thus quite concerned about events in Kurdistan. And they're not likely to be too happy about the prospect of Turkish troops on its northwestern borders...

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