Showing posts with label Statistics We Don't Need No Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Statistics We Don't Need No Statistics. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 05, 2010

I Wonder Who Made That One Complaint?



"Tony Clement said he would not speak for the former minister, but added the public policy is justified if there is just one complaint."

Thursday Update: Rosie Barton has posted the actual exchange here. Read it yourself and see if Stephen Harper's face doesn't pop into your head. :
Clement: "I can't quantify. Even if there's one complaint, if it's a legitimate complaint, even if there's one complaint from a Canadian about the coercive tactics used by a government agency we have to consider that complaint a valid question about public policy."

Barton: "Sure, but we don't change public policy for one person do we?"

Clement: "Why not? If they're right."

Barton: "We change public policy for one person?"

Clement: "If they're right."
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Tuesday, August 24, 2010

I Have Seen The Future

And it doesn't work. Sorry about the lack of postings today. I am still recovering from seeing Evan "Look Out Bambi" Solomon fuck up Canadian political journalism, yesterday. Mr. Solomon, who I am sure is a fine fellow and a wonderful arts reporter, has no business hosting a show about politics on the CBC. The man is a lox. Case in point, the long gun registry and the chiefs of police.

I sat in disbelief as Mr. Solomon referred to a "straw poll" (read a posting on a police web site) as a "survey". Over and over again, he pretended that this abortion, was somehow a legitimate sample of opinion among rank and file police and should be given equal weight with the vote by the Chiefs of Police. Just as I was about to stroke out, Scott Reid called bullshit on him (not that Solomon admitted his error). If Evan Solomon can't tell the difference between a statistically valid survey and the internet equivalent to a radio phone in show, he should be fired.

As a final note, Tom Flanagan should be ashamed for his attempt to make Scott Reid's intervention on behalf of valid statistics look like a partisan shot. Luckily, Mr. Reid countered Dr. Flanagan quite well and at least Tom had the good grace to look shame faced. If this is where political reporting is going, we are well and truly fucked as a country.
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Friday, August 20, 2010

Let Me Turn That Around Mr. Flanagan

Should we all just shut up and do what Stephen Harper tells us to do, even though he and his party represent, at best, one in three voters and is only prime minister because of our grossly antiquated electoral system?
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Thursday, August 05, 2010

Great Moments In Stupidity

Remember, these guys are running the country. The minister in charge of the census says that the provinces should set up their own censuses, if they don't like what Ottawa is doing. Oh, and private companies should too and maybe the Anglican Church. There is no sign of intelligent life in Ottawa.
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Shut Up. That's Why

Stephen Harper will not be questioned about the census. Everyone go away, the man has a country to destroy.
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Wednesday, August 04, 2010

No Shit

In a rare moment of honesty, Rob Nicholson articulated Stephen Harper's governing style :
"We don't govern on the basis of statistics," Nicholson said. "We govern on the basis of what we hear from the public and what law enforcement agencies tell us. That has not changed in the four and a half years we've been in government."
Rather than govern on the basis of facts and reason, this government rules by anecdote and hearsay. I am glad Mr. Nicholson cleared that up for the two or three people in the country who didn't understand the fucking obvious.
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Stockwell Day Lives In An M.C. Escher World

Campbell Clark attempts to follow Stockwell Day as he travels up and down the staircases of his mind:
Although the official crime rate is going down, a senior Harper government minister says there is reason to disbelieve the statistics and spend billions of dollars on new prisons: an “alarming” increase in unreported crime.

Stockwell Day’s argument is based on a Statistics Canada survey, conducted like a large poll, which showed a slight rise in unreported crimes – though the increase was in property crimes and petty theft, not violent crimes. And the survey was conducted in 2004 – an ironic twist given that Mr. Day made his case only minutes after he maintained that the long-form census is not very reliable because it can be as much as five years out of date.
Mr. Clark was treated for "strained brain" and released. Medical authorities have warned others that trying to follow Stockwell Day's thinking is dangerous and should only be attempted while using "extreme caution".
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Tuesday, August 03, 2010

Meanwhile

Tsar Stephen sends out Stock Day to defend the gutting of the census. Comedy ensues.
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When The Truth Won't Work

This government has no trouble lying. Christ, I don't even know where to begin with Steamboat Tony's minion's latest steaming pile:
“I think we've already presented a pretty reasonable position: and that's if Canadians wish to give the information to the government – to census takers – then by all means they can,” Mr. Waddell said. “We just think it's absurd that anyone should be threatened with jail time or fines, and we're not going to budge on that.”

Mr. Waddell suggested that the opposition parties are not interested in compromise. He noted that during a Commons Industry committee meeting last week, the Conservatives’ political rivals signalled they are only interested in restoring the previous census regime.

“When that committee meeting ended, it was the opposition parties who banded together and voted in favour of there being only one option – and to their mind that's full reinstatement of the mandatory long form, including jail fines and monetary penalties,” Mr. Waddell said. “And if that's their position, we can't support it.”
The fact that every statistician in the world says that a voluntary census will be useless doesn't phase Mr. Waddell. As for threating jail or fines, well, that is true except for the parts of the census that still threaten jail or fines, like the short form and the agricultural census.

And while it is true that the Industry Committee did pass a motion demanding that the long form be reinstated, there have been plenty of signals, at least from Layton, that the opposition would drop the jail penalties (which, have never been used) from the act. Really, the lies are getting more desperate by the day and Harper's lame excuses for hiding behind his children are quickly losing their charm.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010

A Radical Newspaper Backs Census

Another radical, commie newspaper editorializes against our beloved (and resting, God bless him) leader's decision to save us from the census:
The federal Conservatives should reverse their stance on killing the mandatory long form of the Canadian census. From academics to genealogists to corporations, everyone except Stephen Harper's Tories seems opposed to the introduction of voluntary completion forms, replacing the long form. Economists, think-tanks, professional associations, non-profits, labour unions, religious groups, municipalities and corporations oppose the move, which will cost taxpayers millions more but lead to inferior results.
The name of the paper you ask? No, it isn't the Daily Worker, it is the Calgary Herald.
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Friday, July 30, 2010

The Capitalists Are Nervous

I do believe they are starting to question the economic bona fides of this insane clown posse of a government:
Roger Martin, dean of Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto

Key Point: Productivity and Canada’s ability to compete globally will suffer.

If we’re really going to benefit from the information age and be a player in the information age, guess what? We have to have information, and use information. I think you want to give Canadians a chance to have their economy be a sophisticated economy that uses information to its best in the information age.

The question is, are we embracing the information age or are we going backward and saying – at a time when information is getting more valuable, more useful, you can squeeze more out of it – are we reverting to a charming earlier era when we didn’t use information for hardly anything, and had a less productive economy. That’s the issue …
The friends of capitalism are going to have to understand that this government is based on agrarian populism of the early 20th century and the 21st century Tea Party. It is fundamentally hostile to knowledge in any form, substituting "belief" and "common sense" as its highest ideals. It is fundamentally opposed to the Enlightenment's elevation of reason to the apex of epistemology. Appeals to reason will have little affect on this crew. Superstition and "gut feelings" are their guides. They are not modern people in any way that matters. In fact, they are closer to a cargo cult than a modern political party.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010

Of Vacations And Bomb Throwers

With apologies to Karina Roman's delicate sensibilities, Prime Ministers who gut the Census and impair the functioning of the Canadian state, do not get a free pass to whoop it up a the cottage. Harper is an employee of the Canadian people, and not their king. He should as a matter of course, make himself available to explain himself. Sending out his trained monkey is no substitute for hearing it from the organ grinder.

One might incorrectly conclude that Harper is afraid to show himself. If he were human, one might think him a little embarrassed by the havoc he has caused. Fortunately, Mr. Harper is not human and so is not plagued by human emotions, save one, arrogance. The simple fact is, Harper does not care what we think and has no intention of voluntarily explaining himself to anyone. If he is to be flushed out of hiding, we must keep up the pressure.
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Wednesday, July 28, 2010

The Joke Is On Us

Scott Feschuk is correct, our Industry Minister is only fit for derisive laughter. Sadly though, this clown represents one of the most radical regimes ever elected by a minority of voters in this country. It is consciously tearing down everything the last generation built, without thought or care. Normally, the clownish behavior of politicians would cause me to laugh along. This is different. They are different. Our nation is under threat by nihilists, bent on destruction, and that is no laughing matter.
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Tuesday, July 27, 2010

If This Won't Convince Conservative Supporters

Nothing will:
The proposed changes would result in more junk mail and more telemarketers on the phone, because they will be less able to target their campaigns to specific consumer groups, she added.
Got that? Stephen Harper wants you to get more of those stupid phone calls.
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Inventing A New Statistics

From Kady's live blogging of the Census hearings:
Meanwhile, Coleman suggests that the committee members "take off their partisan blinders" and figure out a way to make the voluntary survey work.
He then suggested that they all take off their partisan blinders and figure a way to turn lead into gold or maybe create a chimera.
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Illogic To the N'th Degree

No one is asking the central question of the census debate. Why is the government making the long form census voluntary (thus making its statistics dubious at best) and yet is keeping the agricultural census mandatory (with the requisite threats of fines and jail time for non-compliance)? My suspicion is it comes down to the fact that the Conservatives want accurate information for farmers, since they are a core constituency of the Party, but are completely uninterested in accurate information about women, the poor and natives. Regardless, it would have been interesting if someone had thought to ask Tony Clement why it is ok to threaten farmers with prosecution, but not other people?
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Ok Libertarians

You love European style data collection so much. lets go for it. (The sound you hear is the rush for the exits).
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Monday, July 26, 2010

War Is Peace

Neil Reynolds in the Globe today, is mouthing the latest talking points from Dimitri Soudas' shop of horrors:
People should, as a matter of principle, prefer a voluntary census to a mandatory census. But the reason to scrap the census has nothing much to do with coercion (which is, in fact, minimal) or with cost (which is, in fact, minimal, too). The reason to scrap the mandatory census is that it, along with a great deal of other government fact-finding, is simply not necessary. Indeed, the government should have made this argument. After all, if the most statist countries of Old Europe are abandoning the coercive census, why shouldn’t we get rid of it, too? From this perspective, the government could have defended its decision as, well, liberal and progressive rather than as, well, conservative and reactionary.

The European consensus is that the census simply isn’t necessary.
It is fascinating when right wing loons embrace "the European consensus", but don't be fooled. As usual, people like Reynolds are just peddling bullshit dressed as chocolate mousse.

It is true that some European countries are moving away from the census as a statistical tool, but that is not because they have become libertarian utopias in the von Hayek sense. The Nordic countries, for example, are moving away from the census by substituting national administrative statistics, based on long established legislative infrastructures (as in not, not, not voluntary), to collect their data. Mr. Reynolds and the rest of Maggie Thatcher's Canadian Auxiliary, would like you to think that libertarianism is sweeping the old world. It is not.

Also, the followers of St. Maggie are not suggesting that we adopt the old world's administrative statistical infrastructure either. Since they are not suggesting a move toward a European administrative based statistics model, I have to conclude that they are simply trying to fool people into dumping the census for ideological reasons. Nice try folks, but go peddle your "chocolate-like" nonsense elsewhere
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Saturday, July 24, 2010

What A Surprise

The ex-Mr. Lady Black is against the long form census (for starters). Mr. Jonas' anti-government stance is sincere and comes from personal experience. However, his transmutation of the Census into a leading indicator of proto-communist/Nazi totalitarianism, is completely over the top. In other words, he is a perfect example of the type of person for whom Mr. Harper is crafting the "new" Canada, paranoid, angry and not a little out there.
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More Enemies For The List

Christ, the Conservatives are going to need a super computer to keep track of all of their "enemies". Tony Clement has added Stats Can to the list of groups on which it is open season. Why else would he say in the Sun:
“I believe that Stats Canada should be an objective organization, a professional organization,”
Thereby implying that it isn't at the moment. This opens the door to every loon on Team Nutbar to claim that Stats Can is nothing but a Liberal front organization that controls our minds using Z rays. Way to go Tony. Your psychopathic master must be very pleased with you.
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